October 11, 2011

Nine million jobs – the cost of inaction on the global debt crisis

The Nobel Prize in Economics, awarded yesterday, highlighted the important role of expectations. The IMF’s World Economic Outlook has given the world an important barometer of expectations about the economic climate and how they change over time. This post uses IMF figures to estimate how many jobs will be lost over the period 2011-2015 in the Eurozone, the USA and in the rest of the developed world, due to politicians’ inaction on the debt crisis over the last twelve months alone. Read more

July 27, 2010

Reasons for optimism as world’s economic recovery looks broadly based

This post uses the latest IMF World Economic Outlook to examine which countries have been affected most by the recession. Looking at 2010-2013 growth rates, it breaks the recession’s impact down into two periods, the initial economic crisis and the subsequent rebound over the past 12 months. It finds that the recent recovery is very broadly based. Read more

November 10, 2009

Which countries have seen their economies rebound fastest? The China effect

The IMF has published its latest growth forecasts. This post gives an overview of the headline stats and analyses the revisions to the 2009 figures. It finds that while some countries in most regions of the world, with the possible exception of the Americas, have seen their growth prospects this year significantly improve, the largest concentration is around China. This suggests a regional dimension to the global economy that is likely to prove important in the medium ter. Read more

April 29, 2009

Are more open countries being hit harder in the recession?

A review of the IMF’s April 2009 World Economic Outlook, and an analysis of the fastest growing – and contracting – economies of 2009. The 2009 economic growth in Africa and Asia is welcome, and growth (albeit weaker) in China and India indicates the beginnings of self-sustaining domestic demand in those economies. Read more

world economic outlook

Nine million jobs – the cost of inaction on the global debt crisis

Reasons for optimism as world’s economic recovery looks broadly based

Which countries have seen their economies rebound fastest? The China effect

Are more open countries being hit harder in the recession?