With NAMA set to swing into operation, this post outlines the elephant in the room for NAMA: yields on Irish property. It also discusses how NAMA could still work for taxpayers – if those working for NAMA ensure that they make themselves fully aware of the true yields on various types of Irish property and how those yields may correct themselves over coming years.
09 Mar 10
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The latest Daft Report shows that rents in all parts of the country have actually stabilised since November, a surprise given the apparent excess of properties in large parts of the country. This post discusses whether the January figure is more likely to prove seasonal or structural, before outlining the importance of stable rents for the broader property market and economy.
16 Feb 10
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Has the new year brought a change in the property market headwinds? Will first-time buyers waiting in the wings find themselves missing out if they don’t move soon? This post looks at trends in the total stock sitting on the market in both apartments and houses, across Dublin, in the other major cities and in the rest of the country. It also estimates the percentage of all properties currently listed for sale in each segment
02 Feb 10
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Ireland’s property market has had nothing but bad news for most of the past three years. This post reviews some of the data from the rental market during 2009, in particular comparing the stock on the rental market with the number of transactions it is processing. It finds evidence to believe rents will level off in Dublin and the other major cities in the next few months, although the outlook for smaller rental markets looks unchanged from a year ago.
19 Jan 10
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The latest Daft report, reviewing house prices in 2009, was published today. This post reviews its main findings and updates the estimate of the total value of residential property in the country, before outlining the likely developments in the Irish property market over the course of 2010.
07 Jan 10
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This post reviews the latest Daft rental report, which finds that rents are at their lowest level in almost 10 years. Rents have fallen in Dublin by more than other parts of the country, while the total stock available to rent has fallen 10% in recent months. Some implications for NAMA are also explored, before underscoring the good news for tenants this news represents.
17 Nov 09
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With the NAMA draft business plan released earlier this week, this post reviews a key topic that remains unaddressed: the low yields on residential property. It finds that yields are clearly lower – far lower – than the 6% assumed both at the start of the NAMA process and now, in its business plan.
16 Oct 09
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This post reviews some measures of the health of the various property markets around Ireland, using transactions-based metrics not price-based ones. It finds that Dublin has seen an improvement in market conditions in the last six months, although it’s less clear whether other regions have reached the turning point yet.
09 Oct 09
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This post goes through some of the findings from the latest Daft.ie Report, out this morning, which reviews trends up to the end of September. Optimists can point to falling stock for sale and quicker sale times in Dublin. Clear regional differences are now emerging in the house price adjustments, while sellers many counties also seem to engaging in a six month wait-and-see strategy.
01 Oct 09
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This post continues the regional review of house prices with an analysis of four-bedroom homes in the different suburbs of Cork. It finds that Cork bucks the trend seen generally in the country and in Dublin and Galway cities that more expensive areas have fallen hardest. The largest falls in Cork have been in Glanmire. It then explores some of the likely explanations for these different regional trends.
11 Sep 09
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